Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.020368 0.022615 0.024861 0.027266 0.029764 0.032277 0.034991
2025-02-16 0.016057 0.019616 0.023302 0.027375 0.031720 0.036193 0.041125
2025-02-23 0.012999 0.017352 0.022007 0.027280 0.033021 0.039031 0.045748
2025-03-02 0.010579 0.015438 0.020798 0.027005 0.033879 0.041170 0.049408
2025-03-09 0.008731 0.013947 0.019873 0.026873 0.034741 0.043178 0.052793
2025-03-16 0.006896 0.012269 0.018584 0.026203 0.034894 0.044311 0.055132
2025-03-23 0.005748 0.011304 0.018032 0.026290 0.035820 0.046231 0.058265
2025-03-30 0.004539 0.010125 0.017131 0.025900 0.036144 0.047428 0.060553
2025-04-06 0.003373 0.008852 0.016026 0.025197 0.036051 0.048111 0.062224
2025-04-13 0.002194 0.007364 0.014539 0.023958 0.035277 0.047976 0.062941
2025-04-20 0.001790 0.007000 0.014476 0.024422 0.036467 0.050044 0.066094
2025-04-27 0.001197 0.006191 0.013762 0.024044 0.036633 0.050919 0.067886
2025-05-04 0.000529 0.005049 0.012604 0.023194 0.036369 0.051462 0.069502
2025-05-11 0.000225 0.004486 0.012247 0.023381 0.037386 0.053533 0.072913
2025-05-18 0.000026 0.003850 0.011715 0.023305 0.038063 0.055193 0.075844
2025-05-25 NaN 0.003201 0.011081 0.023050 0.038487 0.056533 0.078386
2025-06-01 NaN 0.002675 0.010575 0.022927 0.039047 0.058010 0.081062
2025-06-08 NaN 0.002019 0.009738 0.022300 0.038947 0.058682 0.082791
2025-06-15 NaN 0.001686 0.009427 0.022382 0.039716 0.060367 0.085669
2025-06-22 NaN 0.001253 0.008829 0.022017 0.039896 0.061333 0.087700
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000808 0.008061 0.021361 0.039675 0.061797 0.089129
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000356 0.007007 0.020206 0.038771 0.061413 0.089545
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000279 0.006998 0.020639 0.039929 0.063514 0.092858